Thursday, June 30, 2011

Eternal youth

The opening words from a Robson and Kaplan 2007 paper I happened upon:
One way to illustrate the effect of aging on longevity is to calculate the life expectancy of nine year olds if they could sustain their current mortality rate.  For the U.S. population in 2003, this life expectancy would be just over 7,000 years. (See United States Centers for Disease Control, 2006.) That is, we would not be immortal, because there is still a constant positive probability of dying; but our lives would be vastly longer if mortality risks did not increase with age. In fact, 2% of the population of nine year olds would live to almost 30,000 years of age. 
Haven't read the rest of the paper but I thought it was an interesting tidbit.

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